The hysteria around so called farm murders
Someone please pass this information on to Trump:
National Murder Rate:
In 2022/23, South Africa had 21,325- 27,494 murders with a population of about 60 million, resulting in a murder rate of ~45 per 100,000 people.
In 2017/18, the national murder rate was 35.8 per 100,000 people.
Farm Murders as a Proportion of National Murders:
In 2017/18, there were 62 farm murders, which constituted ~0.3% of the 20,336 total murders in South Africa.
According to the Institute for Security Studies, about 13% of police precincts in South Africa had lower murder rates than the global average of 6.9 per 100,000 people. These precincts include affluent areas such as Brooklyn (Pretoria), Garsfontein (Pretoria), Camps Bay, Claremont, and Rondebosch (Cape Town). Suburbs like Sandton and Parkview in Johannesburg, Durban North, Table View, and Woodstock in Cape Town had murder rates of just under 10 per 100,000 people.
In contrast, certain precincts have reported higher murder rates. For instance, the Nyanga precinct in Cape Town, which includes areas like Nyanga, New Crossroads, and Brown's Farm, recorded 289 homicides in the 2018/19 period.
Affluent suburbs (low-crime areas, ~13% of the population): ~780 murders per year.
Poorer suburbs and high-crime areas (~87% of the population): ~39,220 murders per year.
A 2023 report by AfriForum analyzed 1,402 farm attacks and murders recorded by the South African Police Service (SAPS) from 2019 to 2022 or ~350 murders per year.
There are 40,122 commercial farms (StatsSA).
This means that assuming each farm has a married couple running it, the rate of murder is 350 out of 20 051 people.
The estimated annual murder rate for Afrikaner farmers (assuming 40,122 farms run by couples) is ~1.74% per year (or 17.4 per 100,000 people).
This rate is significantly lower than the national murder rate of ~45 per 100,000 people, reinforcing the view that farmers are not at unusually high risk compared to the general population.